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ATB Financial raises outlook for economic growth in Alberta

Jun 10, 2021 | 7:27 AM

CALGARY – ATB Financial is raising its outlook for economic growth in Alberta this year because of higher-than-expected oil prices, rising vaccination rates and a strong recovery in the U.S.

It says it expects the province’s real gross domestic product to grow five per cent this year, up from an earlier forecast for growth of 4.1 per cent.

It says higher-than-expected oil prices are helping to give the province’s economy a boost and retail sales in Alberta have bounced back and are well above pre-pandemic levels.

However, it noted that the drop in real GDP in 2020 was larger than forecasted at 8.2 per cent and it was unclear when international tourism will return to the province.

ATB says it will take until 2023 for Alberta to regain the ground it lost.

ATB Financial chief economist Todd Hirsch says if people continue to get vaccinated, the economy is able to gradually reopen and OPEC continues to keep a lid on oil supply, Alberta’s recovery should stay on track.